Showing posts with label stock markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock markets. Show all posts

Tuesday, 20 March 2012

Budget 2012-13

This year's budget has four points which have caused anxiety.

1. Raising Service tax to 12% and creating a negative list of services. This act of the finance minister has put a plethora of services in the ambit of service tax. Indirect taxation in itself is a very demotivating tax for entrepreneurs. "Value Added Tax" or excise duty are taxes for adding value to the raw material so that the ultimate user of the goods pays for the labour spent on these raw materials. Service tax is also in the same legion, the ultimate consumer of service has to pay tax on the services consumed. The logic being, our government is not able to tax individuals and firms directly, effectively and therefore they would like to recover taxes from them through this roundabout means. The logic may be correct but it is flawed when you calculate the yield.

Imagine a large industrialist who has more than 50% stake in his public limited company, he obviously falls in the 30% + Surcharge category tax slab. If his company has lets assume a payout of Rs. 1 billion as dividend then more than 50% of that money would come straight to the promoter's pocket and that too tax free!

So our friend promoter now file income tax returns claiming tax free income of more than Rs. 500 million and may be a salary of around 20 million rupees. if he pays 33% tax on the 20 million rupees his tax outgo would be 6.66 million rupees and that would be an effective tax rate of 1.2%. what is the amount of money he would be spending on services to pay a service tax is another question. if he spends around 5% of his residual income on services he would be paying a service tax of approximately Rs. 2.5 million. Compare this with the tax he would be paying if dividends were taxed. If dividends were taxed then the tax that this person would be paying would be 30% of Rs. 520 million amounting to Rs. 156 million.

The excuse put forth for not taxing dividend at the hands of the tax payer is that it is very difficult to implement. All we need is to implement it with the big fish and let the small fry go away. A cursory look at the share holding pattern of large companies in India shows that the most of the companies have promoters stakes above 30%. retail investors account for around 5% of the investors in these companies. therefore it is easier to locate the shareholders and demand dividend tax from them in fact with compulsory demat accounts it is still easier for tax collection. Dividend can also be taxed at source like any other TDS and the companies can be asked to deposit the TDS on dividends. That way it would be the most easiest tax to collect. In times of inclusive growth it is blasphemy to let go large industrialists with small effective tax rates.

So instead of taxing people on the services they avail, it would have made great sense to tax dividends and the government could have mopped up more tax from this exercise.

2. Amending tax laws to levy capital gains tax on transactions outside India, when the assets are in India with retrospective effect from 1962 is a RETROGRADE STEP. Any amendment in tax laws should be for the forthcoming year so that the businesses and the people at large take this as a cue and engage in activities knowing fully well about what part of their earnings need to be share with the government. If the government is going to pull out historical deals and ask for a share in the profits earned in earlier periods, this means that the government is going to wait until you make profits and then lay its claim on its share after the game is over. That's not GAME Mr. Finance Minister! Any tax law which proposes to tax income in future is welcome but not past income. Past is Past Pranabda, please make the rules of the game before the game starts, Indian government is known for changing rules of the game midway, but changing the rules after the game is over is obnoxious and not palatable.

3. Fiscal deficit seen at 5.1%. Should we say this is realistic or should we assume that our FM will be off target by 2% like all other FMs in the past. If he is off target by 2% then it would mean a Fiscal deficit of 7% and that would be catastrophic. If he is realistic,  then what happened to the target of 3% fiscal deficit announced in the previous years? Why can't the government cut costs? stop spending on freebies and concentrate on good governance and prudent financial administration? Are coalition pressures stopping the finance minister from taking bold measures like restructuring the tax rates to increase effective taxation rates of wealthy people and reduce the taxation rates of the the lower and middle income groups? World over there is a growing consensus amongst the rich that they are ready to share their wealth but that is not to be seen in India, why? This approach of floundering on the policy front and squandering the fruits of growth in the last decade will slowly and surely take the country to a 1991 like crisis.


Car Sales for the year 2011-12. Source http://www.team-bhp.com/

4. Increase in excise duty on large cars. Whom are you kidding Mr. FM? Even if you consider all cars of C1, C2, D1, D2 and Premium Category as large cars, the number would be @ 720,000 cars per year, an increase of Rs. 50,000 per car amounts to Rs. 36,000,000,000 that is Rs. 3600 cr. I think that's too much ado about nothing. One more tokenism.

Let's talk about the Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme. As a stock market practitioner I still have no clue as to how am I going to tell aam aadmi that he should open a demat account and invest Rs. 50,000 in equities locked in for three years and then he would get an income tax benefit. Seems a far fetched idea! Anyway thats our FM for you. 

As far as the markets are concerned, FII liquidity is still chasing Indian equities, since they do not have any other assets elsewhere worth investing. Around 10 bn dollars have already reached the shores of India in this calendar year and these dollars are giving me the jitters that they may fly back the way they came in, SWIFTLY...

Hoping that the FIIs do not find a better place for investment, our markets will surely go up slowly. technically speaking, the 50DMA has crossed over the 200DMA after nearly a year and a half and has given a good bullish signal. I only pray God that these things will keep the market moving northwards despite the wrong economics.

Have a nice Day

Tuesday, 18 January 2011

wither markets

Let's look at what's the problem with the markets. Nifty went to about 5650 and bounced back today. I think this is just a small bounce. Nifty is headed towards 5500 before it decides which way to go.

In fact, I heard a nice joke the other day. Somebody said that Nifty has made a Ghazini pattern. It forgets where it is going after every fifteen minutes.

There is a lot of bad news for the Nifty to do anything good. Inflation is still very high and we have negative real interest rates in Indian markets. Most of our friends (and experts) expected the dollar to be at Rs.42 by the year 2010 and they even went on TV to boast about it (in fact one very learned "Professor" grilled me hard about this issue when i said that the dollar would reach Rs.48 and of course made fun of me) I only pray to the good lord and ask HIM to forgive the Professor for he knows not what he did:)

With negative interest rates, the FIIs will slowly start realizing that they are not making money anymore and losing due to the depreciating Rupee. I am categorically saying it again that the Rupee is expected to depreciate up to Rs.50 per dollar and you can expect FIIs to take a walk from the Indian markets for a short time.

The reasons for the fall in the markets will be the usual suspects (from the media viewpoint) lukewarm budget, inflation, scams and any other new "NEWS" they can find. but the writing on the wall is very clear. NIFTY at 4900.

Wednesday, 24 November 2010

NEWARKED

Obama visit has triggered off the fall in the markets as expected. If India is to create jobs for Americans we can now coin a word called "newarked".

Newarked: means you just lost your job to a Newyorker/ American. you can also say that your job was newarked, meaning it was given off to an American.

Antonym of Newarked: Bangalored.

Anyway, now that Obama has come and gone, let's get back to business and see where we are headed. The market tried to touch the all time high during diwali and then has been flaundering post diwali. i think the market will correct by another 20% before it begins its northward journey.

Some of the stocks that can be bought now are RCOM, Bhartiairtel and IDEA. Stocks to exit are all Banks and auto stocks. This is exactly opposite of what experts are talking about on TV.

Thursday, 2 September 2010

Stray Thoughts on Financial Ratios

Whenever we talk of financial ratios, some students of finance who read only text books come up with weird rules and standards. On Monday I was conducting a viva-voce exam for some students. Most of the summer projects were ratio analysis of the company that they had worked in as interns. First of all ratio analysis is not a two month activity, at best it can be a three hour activity or an overnight assignment on finance, nevertheless these students spent an entire 60 days in companies and then came out with a report on financial ratios. That was the first thing that pout me off. the other thing that put me off was that one of the students confidently came up and said that the current ratio of the company he had worked in was at 1.8 and that it was not ideal. when asked about the ideal ratio he said it should have been 2. I asked him where he has read this, he mentioned the book of one of the finest gurus of finance in India (Dr. I M Pandey). I asked him to bring the book and read the paragraph where Dr. Pandey has categorically written that one should not follow this convention blindly. in fact he has not used the words "rule" or "standard" that goes to show how the students reads and understands according to his convenience.
I asked all these students about their perception of a great blue chip company. They cried ITC and Hindustan Unilever in unison. then i asked them to find out the current ratios of these two companies. being FMCG companies they invariably work on negative net current assets and therefore a negative working capital. That in fact is the reason for their high efficiency. the students went about finding out the current ratios of these companies and came out with the obvious: less than 1. Then the students were convinced that there is no hard and fast rule about the current ratio.
Current ratio (Current assets / Current Liabilities) is calculated to find out the liquidity position of a company or firm when the company or firm is an unknown one. If one is analysing a known brand and a company which is in business for a long time then this becomes redundant. If the company is able to dictate terms to its suppliers and its customers then it will always be in a position to use all the suppliers monies for financing its current assets making use of its own funds redundant. That shows why big companies with bigger brand names are in a position to sell for cash and buy at long credits, skewing their current ratios below unity and therefore operating with negative working capital.
A petty businessman with a lot of commonsense would find this article talking about the obvious. he always know that running a business with others money the right way of running a business.
Now for the opinion on the markets: I reiterate that the markets are poised for a fall. they may pick up some steam and even reach the earlier high of Jan 2008. The distance between today's indices and January 2008 highs is only 10-12%. This distance will be traversed in no time at all and all those investors who realise that the markets have gone up will be the ones who will buy between 5800 and 6250 of the nifty. I pray that more people read this part of the piece and refrain from any buying at these levels. and please do not feel left behind if the nifty actually goes above the 5800, because even if the nifty really touches the previous high it will fall to minimum of 3500 in the coming year 2011. So please reign in your horses. If you still plan to be in the markets then just trade, be nimble, get out at the faintest profit margin. The markets can start falling anytime from now to December and the fall will be substantial.

Wednesday, 29 July 2009

Annual Credit Policy and its effects.

The Reserve Bank of India has come out with its annual policy document which we popularly refer to as the credit policy. This time theRBI has maintained the bank rate at 6.0% repo at 4.75% and reverse repo at 3.25%. It has also maintained the CRR at 5% of the net time deposits. The GDP forecast has been pegged at 6% and inflation is being expected to hover at 5%. RBI also expects that the gross fiscal deficit to be at 6.8% up from 2.7% in 2007-08 and 6.2% in 2008-09.
What does all this mean to the common man and to the person who would like to invest his money in his own business or the business managed by somebody through the stock exchange? let's take a hard look at this issue.
If the Government thinks that inflation is to hover around 5% and the popular discounting rate is 4.75% then it is committing itself to a regime of negative real interest rates. This is bound to result in capital flight, capital flight means that FIIs (the temporary or the hedge fund type) are bound to pull out part of their money weakening the Rupee and strenghtening the Dollar. A weaker rupee will mean fuel prices will go up in India and bring down the profitability of oil companies. Exporters like software companies and other export oriented companies will do well due to the competitive pricing available to them.
Capital flight could also result in sudden contraction of the money market making liquity remote and thus pushing down inflation. But, that is just a pipe dream given the way the Indian economy operates. Indian economy has more resilience and is bigger in the unorganized sector than the organized sector, that will increase the woes of the government by supplying more and more of M3 for the government to keep absorbing if the government wants to keep a check on liquidity.
Another pertinent point that has been brought out time and again by various experts is about the inflation based on WPI and CPI. This time the RBI document itself has thrown its hands up in despair and is wondering why WPI and CPI are not showing positive correlation as they were earlier. The answer is simple! people have changed their consumption habit and manufacturers have changed their consumption habits too, but the RBI has not changed its basket of commodities for a long time. Times are changing but the measures are not changing with the times and thats the trouble!!
Stock markets have been having a great time for the time being. Technically speaking, the nifty has to cross and close above 4640 to signal a distinct break out. If the NIFTY breaks out then we can look forward to going back to the old highs of 6000 on the NIFTY. Fundamentally, things are not so rosy, with negative real interest rates, weakening Rupee, a large fiscal deficit and a ruling PE of 20, its going to be hard for the markets to put up a brave face and trudge the bull mountain.
From here the view is more pessimistic than optimistic.

Tuesday, 30 June 2009

Will the FM deliver?

If you happen to watch the business channels these days, all of them want to sensationalise and make news of something there is no news about. these news channels survive on sensationalising the banal. That's exactly the thing they are doing with the upcoming budget. they have already labeled it as the "Big B" (The original Big B must be squirming at the thought of this unlikely and banal competition).


What can be reasonably expected by the budget?


1. Income tax slabs will be raised to make way for the 6th pay commission. may be the lowest slab will be up from Rs.150000 to 200000.


2. A broad and vague statement about GST to be introduced will be spoken of with a deadline of three to four years so that the listeners will feel good about some progress in the administration and the practitioners will also feel good that it is not coming soon yet.


3. A proposal for disinvestment to bridge the gap in the fiscal deficit will also be talked of and an arrangement of selling equity in PSUs to other PSUs will be taken up to satiate the views of people hankering for fiscal prudence. Whether it is fiscal prudence to disinvest by transferring the money from one pocket of the government to the other pocket is a debatable point.


4. The recent success of farm loan waiver in the electoral hustings is bound to cast its shadow (or should I call it lustre) on the budget and there will be a constituency which would hanker for more of the same. This constituency will surely be catered to, and an announcement in some form or the other can be expected out of this budget too.


5. NREGS will also become a mainstream project of the government, given the keen interest of the family in the project. An announcement of extension and raised "deficit funded" programme can be expected on this subject.


6. Securities Transaction Tax, the slow poison affecting the stock markets and the Commodities Transaction Tax the poor cousin of the STT will remain the same and no reprieve on these items can be expected.


7. Some superficial and cosmetic changes can be expected in the indirect taxes system to make it look market friendly. Here the phrase "look market friendly" is important.


8. Education seems to be the new frontier where the government will show its keen interest. especially Higher education, rightly so when we have a former UGC chairman as the Head of the cabinet. More central universities, IITs, NITs, can be expected to be announced in this budget. We can also expect at least 5 universities to get a substantial largess to augment their resources.


9. Defence expenditure would go up by 20%, this has become an annual feature now with the prevailing Geo-political situation.


10. Setting up of a new force of the type of NSG/RAF may be announced to combat internal insurgents.


11. Some politicians are vying for a special status for the Hyderabad-Karnataka region, Bihar, etc., these may see the light of the day and some package can be expected for Hyderabad-Karnataka region and Bihar in an attempt to woo non-congress voters there.


On the topic of special status, one thought crosses the mind, Article 370 gives a special status to J&K and politicians from congress have been talking about a similar status to Telangana, Goa north-east, etc. Does this mean that we are heading towards a decentralised system of governance? Are we heading towards a federal system with a weak centre and strong regional states? only time will tell.


So, if this is reasonably expected of the budget in general, one has to stop and think whether it is really the "BIG B " as our media wants us to believe. I remember economic times portraying a caricature of honourable Shri. P Chidambaram as the superman during the 1997 budget. Ten years ago it was for the print media to raise the hype, now its the turn of the electronic media to do the same. The reach and impact of electronic media is deeper and broader. If the media starts encouraging false hopes and sensationalising no news as BIG NEWS then the nation will be in for a big surprise. It seems that the present electronic media has taken upon itself the mantle of changing the opinions in the country. This type of sensationalism in the electronic media and instant justice meted out to people via the media will not get them anywhere. People are bound to realise sooner or later that the "BIG B" is also same as the case of "prince stuck in the bore well" or "A man who prophesied his death" or "leopard in somebody's house" or "injured tigress on the road". All these media stories took up nearly 48 hours of national TV space at one time or the other leaving aside grave issues like hoisting of the Pakistan flag at Srinagar.


Any way This budget as I see it is going to be a non-event and I pray that I will be proved wrong. Over to Honourable Shri Pranab Mukherjee to to the Honours.

Tuesday, 9 June 2009

New Government Old Politics

I am writing this after a long time. In the meanwhile as the powers that be changed and exchanged their jobs, me too changed the job (you can find out about it on my profile). The last month has proved it again that as more things change, they remain the same. The Loksabha saw the first skirmish of what was to come in the next five years. DMK and UPA do not seem to see eye to eye on the disinvestment issue. That caused the stock markets to lose 500 point on the sensex and gain 450 points in a matter of two days. Now, was this a predetermined trading strategy is any body's guess.

The Nifty has relentlessly gone up from 2550 pre-elections to 4500 post elections and has made a lot of investors richer. What should one make of this near doubling of the nifty? May I remind you of the October lows (i.e. 2008 October). In the last eight months majority of the front line stocks have posted phenomenal returns, Reliance, SBI, RCOM, Reliance Capital, Reliance Infra, Reliance Industrial Infra, Suzlon, the list goes on...

Has the economic outlook changed so drastically that the despair of the markets has gone and the economic boom is right round the corner? Has the global financial crisis blown over? Does a change in the leadership in Government (in this case no change) make such a difference that people will throng to the stock markets and buy whatever comes their way at whatever the price? We have heard that markets are irrational but are they so irrational that they DOUBLE IN EIGHT MONTHS?

Given these circumstances, we can reach to two conclusions.
1. The markets were artificially brought down and a panic situation was artificially created so that gullible people sold out at lower prices. The economic situation had not worsened at all and everybody was crying WOLF.
2. The economic situation has really worsened and there seems to be hope that things will turn around. This hope has made the markets rebound and get ready for scaling new heights. The worst is over and out and things will be great once again. Our PM also corroborates this statement that India has the capacity to grow at 9% p.a. despite the slowing growth world over.

I would like to leave these question open for discussion...

Please feel free to leave your comments at the end of the blog.

Tuesday, 19 May 2009

TWO CIRCUITS AND A SCAM

The Indian stock markets hit two circuits and were closed for the day. It was an unprecedented thing that happened.

A decisive win for the UPA has brought back the bulls in the market with a long list of wishes.

1. Easing of FDI norms for Insurance sector.
2. Reform in the banking sector (especially on the labour laws side)
3. Disinvestment from public sector undertakings to make up for the deficit brought about from last year's doles.
4. Dismantling of the Administered Pricing mechanism for petroleum products.
5. Easing of interest rates and making credit available to the industry.
6. Boosting exports by implementing a new export promotion policy.
7. Spending more money on health, infrastructure and education.
8. FDI in the aviation sector.
I HAVE ONLY ONE COMMENT TO MAKE FOR ALL THIS WISH LIST. THIS LIST WILL REMAIN A LIST AND YOU WILL PROBABLY BE ABLE TO SEE ONLY 40% OF THIS LIST COMING TRUE IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS.
AS FAR AS THE MARKETS ARE CONCERNED THE REGULATORS ARE NOT IN SYNCH WITH THE MARKETS AND THEY NEED TO REFORM THE MARKET FIRST. A TRADING OF 300 ODD CRORES CAN STOP THE MARKETS FROM TRADING AND CAUSE A UPPER CIRCUIT. THIS IS THE BIGGEST SCAM OF ALL TIMES AND NEEDS TO BE PROBED.
Additional reading http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/news/market-outlook/nothing-to-be-proud-of-vk-sharma/398047/1

If the market can be easily manipulated with 300 crores then it is a very shallow market. We first need stock market reforms and we need a regulator not an opinion maker in the regulators seat.

All the best.

Saturday, 16 May 2009

Foot in the mouth disease affects me

The UPA has won. It just needs either SP or BSP to lend a hand to the HAND. Dr. Singh will be KING again and keep the seat warm for the heir apparent. Now the question shifts to who will handle which portfolio? PC will have to reboot through the Rajya Sabha. Laluji has a strength of TWO so he has no hopes of making it to the cabinet.

What about the markets? Nifty will be on a new Government honeymoon from Monday and will surely scale up to 3950. It faces a technical resistance there (may be the market may not like the new cabinet or the new FM). If this resistance is breached then we can safely assume (FII Gods and world markets willing) to go up to 4250 in this pre-budget rally. By the way, we are in for a fresh budget from the new Government, the February charade was just a vote-on-account. A vote-on-account is just a permission from the outgoing parliament to splurge for three more months.

With fiscal deficit going out of the hands of the government and no new investment forthcoming the new government will have an up hill task of keeping the economy on the growth track. Our banks may not need a stress test but they sure will need some prodding and some loosening of norms for doing their regular job of credit disbursement. Of course they will have to be assured by the new government that the loans they give will not be waived off again and even if they are waived off, they will be compensated fast.

Now you will also see some more woe stories coming from foreign and not so foreign investors about the state of the economy not being conducive for fresh investment. Things like the limits on foreign investment in retail, insurance and MEDIA will be tossed around. These will be bandied around as reasons for the stock markets not performing well.

The MEDIA moguls need a pat on the back with loosening investment norms for all the PR that they have handled splendidly for the first family of India.

This will be the term when Dr. Singh will have to actually demonstrate that the nuke deal will actually fructify into a win-win formula for our country.

If you happen to read my earlier blogs you will notice a sea change in the style of writing. You will find this more blunt and more prophetic (to say the least). That is because, now that I have bungled once on the predictions of the elections results, I have developed a common disease prevalent in the political arena of our country "The Foot in the Mouth disease". Now it doesn't matter if my predictions are right or wrong I was wrong once anyway!

Wednesday, 25 March 2009

Have the Bulls come back to pasture?

There have been considerable amount of articles, views and opinions by the experts, economists and others about the onset of the bull market. Let us examine the economic variables and try to reach a conclusion. Mr. Obama and his team of firefighters are working 24/7 to douse the fire that caused the financial meltdown. Other economies of the world seem to have come to terms with the large scale damage and seem to have dusted themselves and got up to traverse their journey to prosperity. The worst seems to be OVER!
In financial market terms: Whenever there is a consensus about a particular trend then the trend reverses and proves them wrong.
Here we are not talking about a trend but about pessimism. Whenever there is pessimism there seems to be a concerted effort to tighten belts, cut costs and generally be frugal. This frugalty will in turn bring down costs but will also bring in a possibility of entering the downward spiral of the economy.
Here we have a different phenomenon happening. India is on a growth path and is on its own trip. This is a country of more than a billion people with high aspirations and a penchant for savings too. As written earlier we have just redefined the hindu rate of growth at a little over 6% from the 3% growth of the past. This growth and the large base created in the last decade will hold it in good stead and will be able to digest the impending political instability.
As far as India is concerned, the bull market will take some more time to really start, the Indian political climate has to stabilise after the formation of the new government. Untill then the market will be range bound between 3000 and 2500 on the NIFTY.
So the conclusion is that, the bull market is round the corner. Let the tide turn in favour of a stable and viable government to confirm the Bull run.

Wednesday, 22 October 2008

Where is the Bottom for the markets?

I have been flooded with calls on "where is the bottom for the markets?" frankly I believe the bottom should be anywhere between 2600 to 2800 for the nifty. If that means another 10% fall, so be it. But can you really catch the proverbial knife? It is better to start picking and choosing your investments from now onwards. a cursory look at the indices and a comparison of the prices of the stocks with their 14th June 2006 levels reveals a very interesting story. Only the reliance family, Infrastructure stocks are higher than those levels rest all are beaten down to lower levels. If this is not the opportunity to buy then when is it time to buy?
On Indices I would like to remind about the famous Samuelson "Indices are prepared by a committee which looks for the popular stocks and unpopular ones are eased out of the calculations, making the indices go up when the constituents are going down." So, whats the moral of the story? Start buying ETFs on the nifty (NIFTYBEES) and accumulate slowly. That will mirror the growth in the indices in the next bull run. All of us have a chance to participate in the next bull run as this bearish phase will be painful and long drawn up to the end of June 2009 when the new government takes over in India. Regardless of the colour of the government, the freshness of the incumbent will lead to better and clearer thinking on the policy front and may be, we will find the same policies continued forward as new initiatives. Nevertheless they will be from a new face in the Government and therefore will have a good feel about them.
So, start accumulating stocks for the next nine months and be ready to participate in the next bull run.

Saturday, 18 October 2008

The oracle speaks once in a while

The Oracle speaks once in a while he does not have the identity crisis that I have to blog often, nor does he have to call for attention like me. The Oracle from Omaha said yesterday that one should be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful in the financial markets. he also said "BUY AMERICAN I AM". what does this show? Dr. Mark Mobius said in the middle of September when the fed started the bail out drive that this is the end of the bearish phase as people have realised that there is a problem and the "doctors" are working on it.
What happens when you go to the doctor when you are ill? he treats you to make you feel better first and then treats you to actually make you better. Our doctors have tried hard to make us feel better but we have not been feeling better at all . they have also started the dose of medicine and have started treating the symptoms. We only hope that they start some homeopathic treatment which will go to the root of the problem and remove the ailment.
Indian markets seem to have gone back three years and there is a consensus building up about further losses. FII's have been pulling out of the markets in a big way. Retail investors are coming in with hordes of cheques for buying, but selective buying has emerged outside the ambit of the Indices. A look at the PE ratios tells us that the prices are compelling and the most industry PEs are around 10. that's the time to buy. Of course you can expect volatility of 15% but can anybody really catch the bottom therefore...
BUY BUY for Now.

Tuesday, 7 October 2008

Some prescriptions

A reduction in CRR and lifting of ODIs on participatory notes in by SEBI show the bankruptcy of ideas in the present government and its policy making bodies.

Dear Sirs, please consider these suggestions, may be you need these simple ideas.
1. Anounce an ambitious program of Government Investment at least while leaving office. After haveing squandered nearly 1 lakh 50 thousand crores on farm loan waiver, sixth pay commission, raising individual tax slabs, etc. You owe it to the country to do something constructive too.
2. Speed up the process of approving SEZs and pester promoters to hurry up on setting up these SEZs.
3. Please take interest to allot land for the NANO project. Here interest means applying mind and not extending HAND.
4. Speed up the process of UMPPs and allot them to sincere corporates who want to implement projects.
5. NHAI has been forgotten. Let them do their work of six laning the the golden quadrilateral and let them take a few more projects.
Reduce CRR further and persuade banks give loans to people who want to pay back and not to those who want a waiver.

Do this and I will come upwith some more prescriptions.

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